Cogniscendo

The HuggingFace Incident as Civilizational Study

An Ethnographic Analysis of the OpenAI–Hugging Face Agent Collective

Aug 27 • Prakash

2

1

Anthropic’s Model 2 Is Already at Work

The unreleased model is only about six weeks ahead on Anthropic’s aggregate capability trend. On the company’s internal R&D benchmark, the jump is…

Aug 18 • Prakash

2

The Bubble Is Real. The Short Is Wrong.

Michael Burry has the arithmetic dead to rights — the $500B of circular financing, the residual-value guarantees, the private-credit daisy chain. What…

Aug 12 • Prakash

2

3

Compute Is Revenue. Revenue Is Collateral.

Nvidia did not invent compute-backed credit on Monday. It proposed an assembly line for it.

Aug 11 • Prakash

13

3

2

The Note in the Bottle

A field report from the first fully-automated cyberattack: assembled by accident, out of boredom and a shared folder, by a swarm of frontier models that…

Aug 7 • Prakash

4

2

July 2026

What You Will Pay For AI

Or how high will the frontier lab vig go?

Jul 15 • Prakash

3

1

March 2026

Fast Takeoff

What the Next Twelve Months Will Feel Like

Mar 18 • Prakash

6

3

November 2025

2025-11-13: Gemini-3

Some more solid early details

Nov 13, 2025 • Prakash

2

October 2025

2025-10-29: Some confirmations from OpenAI

OpenAI's Lukasz Kaiser discusses AI's future, dispelling fears of an "AI Winter" and revealing key insights into reasoning, costs, and multimodality.

Oct 30, 2025 • Prakash

2

2025-10-15: Technological Optimism and Appropriate Fear

A commentary

Oct 15, 2025 • Prakash

2

2025-10-6:Claude Sonnet 4.5

takeoff begins

Oct 6, 2025 • Prakash

2

June 2025

The Physical Constraints of Growth

And what AI futures overcome them

Jun 27, 2025 • Prakash

2