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2025-10-29: Some confirmations from OpenAI

OpenAI's Lukasz Kaiser discusses AI's future, dispelling fears of an "AI Winter" and revealing key insights into reasoning, costs, and multimodality.

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Prakash
Oct 30, 2025
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Here’s today at a glance:

  • Lukasz Kaiser

  • No Winter

  • One API. End-to-end Voice AI Stack

  • Release Speed

  • Cost

  • Bottlenecks

  • Multimodality

  • Current Research

  • On Slop and Ads

  • On ChatGPT Shopping

  • On Gary Marcus, Geoff Hinton, Paul Krugman and other naysayers

  • Summary

  • AI Artwork of the Day

🗒️ Lukasz Kaiser

is one of the co-authors of the “Attention is All You Need” paper and has been at OpenAI since June 2021 after leaving Google Brain which he’d joined in October 2013.

Lukasz gave an interview to Jon Hernandez, a Barcelona-based YouTuber and AI enthusiast. There was quite a bit of alpha, and confirmations of many things that had been suspected but not fully confirmed by executives at the firm.

❄️ No Winter

In his opinion, there is not likely to be an AI winter for several reasons:

  • still very early in reasoning paradigm

  • lots of low hanging fruit and places they could optimize but have skipped over for now

  • si…

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