I've been playing around with GPT3 for 6 months now. The more I use it, the more I think the world has been fundamentally changed.
GPT3 will be marked as the beginning of AGI. I don't say this lightly. It is not AGI, but it has penetrated the realm of understanding previously reserved for humans. It is a crude, imperfect tool. But in it I see genius.
This is one of my favorite tricks, getting ChatGPT to make poems of unlikely things. This would be beyond by ability and patience.
Now ChatGPT has many many many drawbacks. It is not AGI. But in the research community, I've seen enough discussions about how to mitigate, hack its drawbacks, and now that the starting gun has been fired, I expect a mad rush to build. I expect many of the issues to be resolved. I expect janky, half working AI for the next decade. But by the end of the decade, I expect most people will believe AGI has been achieved, even if it a weird non-hum…
