2024-05-17: Slow Takeoff
AI experts discuss the timeline for achieving Artificial Super-Intelligence, with some predicting its arrival within five years.
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Here’s today at a glance:
🐢 Slow Takeoff
Dwarkesh spoke to John Schulman, a co-founder of OpenAI, this week. John led the creation of ChatGPT and currently leads the post-training team.
TLDR: AGI 2027; ASI 2029: The Return of Clippy;
John Schulman (OpenAI Cofounder) - Reasoning, RLHF, & Plan for 2027 AGI
Watch now | Chatted with John Schulman (cofounded OpenAI and led ChatGPT creation) on: How post-training tames the shoggoth & enabled GPT-4o AI coworkers in 1-2 years The plan if AGI comes in 2025 Reasoning traces, long horizon RL, & multimodal agents Plateaus & moats
